Monkey.D.Luffy (OP17-079) has a weak win rate but a strong record against Xebec
2026-10-31 · data write-up
Numbers as of 2026-10-31: written before snapshots were stored, so its window and n are not recorded. The live metagame is since the 2026-10-12 banlist took effect (2026-10-12 to 2026-11-04), n=842 players in 38 events, and may differ from the figures below.
A weak leader with one good matchup
Monkey.D.Luffy OP17-079 (Black) is easy to overlook. Its share of registered players in the metagame window (since the 2026-10-12 banlist) is 4.6%, which is 31 players. Its tournament win rate (non-mirror matches) is 45.1%, from a record of 55-67-1. The confidence interval is 37-54%, so the data can't tell it apart from an average deck, but it sits below most of the field.
One matchup runs against that. In the tournament matchup table, Rocks.D.Xebec OP17-039 (Blue) is 10-19-0 against this Luffy, a 34.5% win rate for Xebec. That is a small sample, so treat it as a lead and not a verdict.
Xebec is the leader to beat
Xebec has the largest share of registered players in the window at 16.8% (114 players). Its tournament win rate (non-mirror matches) is 52.5%, from 218-197-6, with an interval of 48-57%. Its share also rose from 15.2% in the prior 7 days to 19.3% in the last 7 days, a change of +4.0 points.
A deck that popular gives other leaders a reason to bring a counter. Here is how Xebec's matchups look in the table:
- Against Enel OP05-098 (Yellow), Enel's record is 24-12-1, a 66.7% win rate for Enel.
- Against Sabo OP13-004 (Red/Black), Sabo's record is 10-18-0, a 35.7% win rate for Sabo. This is a small sample.
- Against Donquixote Rosinante OP12-061 (Purple/Yellow), Rosinante's record is 10-16-0, a 38.5% win rate for Rosinante. This is a small sample.
- Against Buggy OP09-042 (Blue), Buggy's record is 13-14-0, a 48.1% win rate for Buggy. This is a small sample.
- Against Luffy & Ace ST30-001 (Red/Green), Xebec's record is 21-18-1, a 53.8% win rate for Xebec. This is a small sample.
Enel has the strongest record against Xebec on the list. The OP17-079 Luffy result is the odd one: a below-average overall win rate alongside a lopsided Xebec record.
Why the overall number lags
Luffy OP17-079's share barely moved. It was 3.2% in the prior 7 days and 3.0% in the last 7 days. So it isn't gaining players and it isn't losing them.
The other Luffy, Monkey.D.Luffy OP13-001 (Red/Green), is the one that moved. Its share went from 3.2% to 20.5%, a change of +17.3 points. Its tournament win rate (non-mirror matches) is 60.1%, from 113-75-3. Enel's record against it is 17-4-1, an 81.0% win rate for Enel.
What to take from this
- The OP17-079 Luffy's matchup against Xebec is its one bright spot, in a small sample. Its overall record is below the field.
- Xebec's share is rising, and its matchups against Enel, Sabo and Rosinante show where counters exist.
- None of these records is large enough to settle anything. Check the matchup pages as more events come in.
Figures come from tournament results since the banlist. See the site's sources page for how win rates and matchups are counted.
Every number on this page comes from the tournament results and prices listed on the sources page.